Approving the ISDWIR Method of Risk Measurement in Making Risk Management Decision

Authors

  • Mikhail Strelnik Department of Enterprise Economy and Industrial Management St. Petersburg State University of Economy (FINEC, Russia)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.2193

Keywords:

Uncertainty, risk, risk management, risk measurement, matrix, incertidumbre, riesgo, gestión de riesgos, medición del riesgo, matriz

Abstract

This paper is devoted to risk management and risk measurement methods. The author considers methods of risk measurement and proposes the Integral Sum of Differential Weighted Indexes of Risks (or ISDWIR) method of risk measurement. The method is based on dynamic enterprise risk matrices. The matrix describes the changes of corporate risk values over the time. The method assists to choose risk management decision having good effects on corporate risk values. The ISDWIR method is also compared with other risk measurement methods.

 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Amram, M. and Kulatilaka, N. (1999). “Real options: Managing strategic investment in an uncertain world”, Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

Aven, T. (2007). “A unified framework for risk and vulnerability analysis covering both safety and security”, Reliability Engineering & System Safety 92, pp. 745–754

Bardossy, G. and Fodor, J. (2004). “Evaluation of Uncertainties and Risks in Geology”, Berlin: Springer.

Cabinet Office (2002). “Risk: Improving government's capability to handle risk and uncertainty”, Strategy Units, Cabinet Office, HM Government, London.

Cox, Jr. and Louis Anthony (Tony) (2008). “What’s Wrong with Risk Matrices?”, Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 28 (2), pp. 497–512.

Crowe, T.J.; Fong, P.M.; Bauman, T.A. and Zayas-Castro, J.L. (2002). “Quantitative risk level estimation of business process reengineering efforts”, Business Process Management Journal, 8 (5), pp. 490–512.

Damodaran, A. (2007). “Strategic Risk Taking: A Framework for Risk Management”, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall.

Damodaran, A. (2012). “Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset”, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.

Dixit, A. and Pindyck, R. (1994). “Investment under uncertainty”, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

Frey, R. and McNeil, A.J. (2002). “VAR and expected shortfall in portfolios of dependent credit risks: Conceptual and practical insights”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 26, pp.1317– 1334.

Glen, A. (2005). “Corporate financial management” (3rd ed.), Harlow: Pearson Prentice Hall.

Godet, M. and Roubelat, F. (1996). “Creating the future: the use and misuse of scenarios”, Long Range Planning, 29(2), pp.164–171.

Graham, J.D. and Weiner, J.B. (eds.) (1995). “Risk versus risk: Tradeoffs in protecting health and the environment”, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

Hull, J.C. (2005). “Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives” (6th edition), New Jersey: Prentice Hall.

Kelley, K. (2007). “Sample size planning for the coefficient of variation from the accuracy in parameter estimation approach”, Behavior Research Methods, 39(4), pp. 755– 766.

Knight, F.H. (1921). “Risk, uncertainty and profit”, New York: Harper & Row.

Levine, E.S. (2012). “Improving risk matrices: the advantages of logarithmically scaled axes”, Journal of Risk Research, 15 (2), pp. 209–222.

Lintner, J. (1965). “The valuation of risky assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolio and capital budgets”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 47, pp. 13–37

Lipton, J., Shaw, W.D., Holmes, J., and Patterson, A. (1995). “Short communication: selecting input distributions for use in Monte Carlo simulations”, Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 21, pp. 192–198.

Markowitz, H. (1959). “Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments”, New York: John Wiley & Sons.

Meacham, B.J. (2010). “Risk-informed performance-based approach to building regulation”, Journal of Risk Research, 13(7), pp. 877–893.

Metropolis, N. and Ulam, S. (1949). “The Monte Carlo Method”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 44, pp. 335–341.

Miller, E.G. and Karson, M.J. (1977). “Testing the equality of two coefficients of variation”, American Statistical Association: Proceedings of the Business and Economics Section, Part 1, pp. 278–283.

Miller, L.T. and Park, C.S. (2002). “Decision making under uncertainty –Real options to the rescue?”, The Engineering Economist, 47(2), pp. 105–150.

Modigliani, F. and Miller, M. (1958). “The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment”, American Economic Review, 48(3), pp. 261–297.

Modigliani, F. and Miller, M. (1963). “Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: A correction”, American Economic Review, 53, pp. 433–443.

Porter, M. (1985). “Competitive Advantage”, New York: Free Press.

Pratt P. and Grabowsky J. (2011). “Cost of Capital: Workbook and Technical Supplement”, New Jersey: John Wiley and Sons.

Rao, P.M. (2010). “Financial Statement Analysis and Reporting”, New Delhi: PHI Learning.

Ratcliffe, J. (1999). “Scenario building: a suitable method for strategic property planning”, The Cutting Edge 1999, The Property Research Conference of the RICS St. John’s Collage, Cambridge, 5th-7th September.

Raubitschek, R.S. (1988). “Multiple Scenario Analysis and Business Planning”, Advances in Strategic Management, 5, pp. 181–205.

Rosa, E.A. (1998). “Metatheoretical foundations for post-normal risk”, Journal of Risk Research, 1, pp. 15–44.

Rosa, E.A. (2003). “The logical structure of the social amplification of risk framework (SARF): Metatheoretical foundation and policy implications”, in: N. Pidegeon, R.E. Kaspersen, and P. Slovic (eds.). The social amplification of risk (pp. 47–76). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Scholleová, H. (2008). “Basic Areas of Utilization of Real Options to Manage a Firm”, Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, 16 (4), pp. 3–11.

Scott, J.H. (1976). “A theory of optimal capital structure”, Bell Journal of Economics, 7, pp. 33–54.

Sharpe, W.F. (1964). “Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk”, Journal of Finance, 19, pp. 425–442.

Teach, E. “Will real options take root? Why companies have been slow to adopt the valuation technique”, CFO Magazine, 1 July 2003. Web: 10th Feb., 2014.

Trigeorgis, L. (1996). “Real Options: Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation”, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

Published

2016-11-04

How to Cite

Strelnik, M. (2016). Approving the ISDWIR Method of Risk Measurement in Making Risk Management Decision . Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 17, Páginas 42 a 59. https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.2193

Issue

Section

Articles