Credit Risk Models: Practical Application to a Mortgage Refinancing Model

Authors

  • José Rafael Caro Barrera Departamento de Estadística, Econometría, Investigación Operativa, Organización de Empresas y Economía Aplicada. Universidad de Córdoba

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.2976

Keywords:

credit risk, dynamic optimization, dynamic programming, interest rate, mortgage refinancing, mortgaged backed securities, Basel III

Abstract

Facing an hypothetical, but increasingly, case of default risk on a mortgage or a fall in interest rates, an important issue raised by the borrower is the possibility of minimizing that risk by selecting the best refinancing option. In this paper, a mortgage refinancing model is presented, developing a purely quantitative programming method with a simulation based on an algorithm created especially for this case and that can be useful for mortgage debtors. Thus, we begin by explaining the theoretical basis on which the research is based, to proceed to develop the problem, continuing with its implementation. Finally, the results are analyzed and the most relevant conclusions are commented.

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Author Biography

José Rafael Caro Barrera, Departamento de Estadística, Econometría, Investigación Operativa, Organización de Empresas y Economía Aplicada. Universidad de Córdoba

Doctorando en la Universidad de Córdoba: Departamento de Estadística y Econometría. Área de Métodos Cuantitativos. Economista y Consultor Financiero.

References

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Published

2019-10-31

How to Cite

Caro Barrera, J. R. (2019). Credit Risk Models: Practical Application to a Mortgage Refinancing Model. Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 28, 183–197. https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.2976

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Section

Articles