Seasonality in fuel consumption: a case study of a gas station

Authors

  • João Rosado Instituto Politécnico de Portalegre (Portalegre, Portugal)
  • Daniel Guerra Instituto Politécnico de Portalegre (Portalegre, Portugal)
  • Paulo Ferreira Instituto Politécnico de Portalegre (Portalegre, Portugal) https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1951-889X

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.4350

Keywords:

diesel, fuel, gasoline, seasonality

Abstract

Oil and its derivatives are very important goods in the world, not only because of their huge use but also because the consequences of that use. The literature has plenty of works with economic analysis of the use of oil. Having available a huge amount of data, we propose an innovative approach: based on daily information of sales in a gas station since 2001 to 2018, we make a seasonality analysis of those sales. In separate analysis, using information of the both existing shifts, of the week day and of the month, we conclude that seasonality in sales is significant. This is an important information for firm managers, which could use this information to better define their strategies.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Backus, D., & Crucini, M. (2000). Oil Prices and the terms of trade. Journal of International Economics, 50(1), 185-213. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(98)00064-6.

Bacon, R. (1986). UK gasoline prices: How fast are changes in crude prices transmited to the pump? Oxford Institute for Energy Studies EE2.

Bacon, R. (1991). Rockets and Feathers: The asymmetric speed of adjustment of UK retail gasoline prices to cost changes. Energy Economics, 13, 211-218. https://doi.org/10.1016/0140-9883(91)90022-R.

Borenstein, S., Cameron, A., & Gilbert, R. (1997). Do gasoline prices respond asymmetrically to crude oil price changes? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112, 305-339. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355397555118.

Dahl, C. (2012). Measuring global gasoline and diesel price and income elasticities. Energy Policy, 41, 2-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2010.11.055.

Dickey, D., & Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348.

Ferderer, J. (1996). Oil price volatility and the macroeconomy. Journal of Macroeconomics, 18(1), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0164-0704(9. 6)80001-2.

Grasso, M., & Manera, M. (2007). Asymmetric error correction models for the oil–gasoline price relationship. Energy Policy, 35(1), 156-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.10.016.

Hössinger, R., Link, C., Sonntag, A., & Stark, J. (2017). Estimating the price elasticity of fuel demand with stated preferences derived from a situational approach. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 103, 154-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2017.06.001.

IEA (International Energy Agency) (2017). CO2 emissions from fuel combustion: overview. International Energy Agency.

Jiménez-Rodriguez, R., & Sánchez, M. (2005). Oil price shocks and real GDP growth: empirical evidence for some OECD countries. Applied Economics, 37(2), 201-228. https://doi.org/10.1080/0003684042000281561.

Kang, W., Ratti, R., & Yoon, K. (2015). The impact of oil price shocks on the stock market return and volatility relationship. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 34, 41-54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.11.002.

MacKinnon, J. (1994). Approximate asymptotic distribution functions for unit-root and cointegration tests. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12, 167-176. https://doi.org/10.2307/1391481.

Narayan, P., & Gupta, R. (2015). Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century? Energy Economics, 48, 18-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.11.018.

Szewerniak, W., Xu, Y., & Dall’erba, S. (2019). The effects of diesel price on regional trade in the USA. Journal of Economic Geography, 19(5), 1099-1118. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lby052.

Tirkaso, W., & Gren, I. (2019). National gasoline and diesel demand elasticities and regional effects of carbon taxes in Sweden. Swedish University of Agriculture Sciences Working paper 02/2019. DOI:10.13140/RG.2.2.24915.84003.

Published

2021-12-01

How to Cite

Rosado, J., Guerra, D., & Ferreira, P. (2021). Seasonality in fuel consumption: a case study of a gas station. Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 32, 3–12. https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.4350

Issue

Section

Articles