Importancia y efecto de los factores financieros y asociados a la financiación en la intensidad de la innovación de las pymes colombianas
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https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.5581Palabras clave:
financiación de la innovación, intensidad de la innovación, redes neuronales, pymesResumen
La financiación de la innovación se ha caracterizado por ser un campo fragmentado donde coexisten múltiples teorías, cada una enfocada en uno o en unos pocos aspectos de la financiación a la vez. El presente artículo busca identificar las variables financieras que más influyen y su efecto en la intensificación de las actividades de innovación de las pymes colombianas en un único modelo empírico comprehensivo que predice la intensidad de la innovación a partir de más de cuarenta subvariables asociadas a la financiación de la innovación. El modelo de predicción (que logró un coeficiente de determinación por fuera de la muestra sobre 0.5 o 0.6), según la definición utilizada, se basa en un conjunto de redes neuronales optimizadas mediante técnicas bayesianas. Los resultados de este trabajo sugieren como conclusión que para que las pymes decidan intensificar sus actividades de innovación predominan las variables capaces de limitar la innovación, como el costo de ajuste y algunos obstáculos para innovar, pero sobre todo las variables centradas en el riesgo, como el riesgo de quiebra de la empresa o del proyecto de innovación y la aversión al riesgo del gerente.
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