Assessment of the market value of Liga MX footballers based on their sporting performance and qualitative variables in the 2021-2022 season

Authors

  • Luis Fernando Cisneros Nuñez Universidad de Monterrey
  • Miguel Angel García Cepeda Universidad de Monterrey
  • Hernán Ayrton González Cruz Universidad de Monterrey
  • Álvaro Andrés Jasso Cantú Universidad de Monterrey
  • Jaime Lara Lara Universidad de Monterrey
  • David Alejandro Vélez González Universidad de Monterrey

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.11486

Keywords:

Machine learning, market value of football players

Abstract

This work identifies the key variables influencing the market value of Liga MX soccer players, using performance information from the 2021-2022 season and other qualitative data. We employed three algorithms to predict the market value assigned by Transfermarkt: multiple linear regression, decision trees, and random forests. According to the model with the lower mean squared error (random forests), the performance variables with the greatest impact on a player’s market value are total actions, dribbles, and duels in which the player participate. In addition to performance in the previous season, highly relevant qualitative variables include the player’s team, contract year, and participation in the national team. We recommend that Liga MX clubs use similar analytical methods to allocate their financial resources more efficiently.

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Published

2026-04-27

How to Cite

Cisneros Nuñez, L. F., García Cepeda, M. A., González Cruz, H. A., Jasso Cantú, Álvaro A., Lara Lara, J., & Vélez González, D. A. (2026). Assessment of the market value of Liga MX footballers based on their sporting performance and qualitative variables in the 2021-2022 season. Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.11486

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