Foreign Direct Investment, human development and energy mining sector: the case of Colombia (1990-2021)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.9610

Keywords:

Oil sector, economic development, human capital, crisis, extractive

Abstract

The main purpose of this research was to analyze the relationship between total Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the mining and energy sector in human development in Colombia from 1990 to 2021, through the estimation of two Autoregressive Vectors -VAR- that accounted for the causal relationship of the variables. The first vector took into account the total FDI, while the second one dealt with the FDI of the mining and energy sector, which from 2003 to 2010 represented, on average, 55% of the total FDI, with the peak year being 2010, when it reached 76% of it. Also, two Error Correction Vectors -EVC- were estimated as a robustness test that confirmed the results obtained. In the two estimations, the Human Development Index (HDI), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the Real Exchange Rate Index (RERI) were taken into account as endogenous variables, while WTI reference oil prices at 2015 prices were considered exogenous. A result, the HDI caused total FDI, in the Granger sense, while for mining and energy FDI had not significance. Thus, an increase of 1% in HDI generated a rise of 10.15% in total FDI inflow.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Ricardo Alexander Apolinar Cárdenas, Escuela Superior de Administración Pública (ESAP)

Economista. PhD © en Ciencias Económicas de la Pontificia Universidad Javeriana. PhD © en Creación y Gestión de Empresas de la Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. Docente catedrático asociado de la Escuela Superior de Administración Pública (ESAP). Investigador del grupo Griegos (ESAP). 

Pavel Vidal Alejandro, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana

Economista. PhD en Economía de la Universidad de la Habana. Docente titular de la Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali.

Javier Díaz Castro, Universidad de los Llanos

Administrador de empresas. PhD en Economía y Gestión Empresarial de la Universidad de Alcalá. Decano de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas de la Universidad de los Llanos. Docente catedrático titular de la ESAP. Líder del grupo de investigación Griegos (ESAP) y Gestión y Economía -GECO- Unillanos

References

Abimbola, L. N., & Oludiran, A. S. (2018). Major determinants of foreign direct investment in the west African economic and Monetary region. Iranian Economic Review, 22(1), 121-162. https://doi.org/10.22059/ier.2018.65354

Agbola, F. W. (2014). Modelling the impact of foreign direct investment and human capital on economic growth: empirical evidence from the Philippines. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 19(2), 272-289. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2014.880282 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2014.880282

Amowine, N., Li, H., Boamah, K. B., & Zhou, Z. (2021). Towards ecological sustainability: Assessing dynamic total-factor ecology efficiency in Africa. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(17). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18179323 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18179323

Apolinar, R., Arcos, O., & Díaz, J. (2019). Sector petrolero y desarrollo humano: un análisis econométrico en el departamento del Meta de 1990 al 2015. Revista Aglala, 10(1), 221-240. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22519/22157360.1345

Arévalo Montañez, S., Apolinar Cárdenas, R. A., & Beltrán Rueda, L. P. (2023). Oil Exploitation and Human Development of Tauramena, Colombia. Apuntes Del Cenes, 42(76), 199-226. https://doi.org/10.19053/01203053.v42.n76.2023.15921 DOI: https://doi.org/10.19053/01203053.v42.n76.2023.15921

Asali, M., Cristobal-Campoamor, A., & Shaked, A. (2016). Local human capital formation and optimal FDI. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 25(5), 691-705. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2015.1118527 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2015.1118527

Asociación Colombiana de Petróleo (ACP). (2021). Informe Estadístico Petrolero. ACP: Bogotá. https://acp.com.co/web2017/es/publicaciones-e-informes/informe-estadistico-petrolero

Azam, M., & Ahmed, A. M. (2015). Role of human capital and foreign direct investment in promoting economic growth Evidence from Commonwealth of Independent States. International Journal of Social Economics, 42(2), 98-111. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-05-2014-0092 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-05-2014-0092

Baharumshah, A. Z., & Almasaied, S. W. (2009). Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Malaysia: Interactions with human capital and financial deepening. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 45(1), 90-102. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X450106 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X450106

Banco de la República. (2021). Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia. In Estadística económicas. Banco de la República: Bogotá. https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/estadisticas/inversion-directa

Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443.

https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943

Bayar, Y., Remeikiene, R., Androniceanu, A., Gaspareniene, L., & Jucevicius, R. (2020). The shadow economy, human development and Foreign Direct Investment inflows. Journal of Competitiveness, 12(1), 5-21. https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2020.01.01 DOI: https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2020.01.01

Behera, S. R., Mishra, T., Dash, D. P., & Mallick, L. (2021). What drives energy consumption in BRICS countries? Evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach. Singapore Economic Review, 2150053. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590821500533 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590821500533

Candelo Viafara, J. M. (2018). Indirect impacts of the exchange rate and petroleum prices in a non-oil economy: VECM and VAR approaches for the Valle del Cauca, Colombia. Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, 10(2), 403-436. https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2018.10.2.9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2018.10.2.9

Castillo, C. D., & García, J. (2019). Desempleo juvenil en Colombia: ¿la educación importa? Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, 11(1), 101-127. https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2019.11.1.7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2019.11.1.7

Cerquera-Losada, Ó. H., & Rojas-Velásquez, L. (2020). Inversión extranjera directa y crecimiento económico en Colombia. Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, 28(2), 9-26. https://doi.org/10.18359/rfce.4202

https://doi.org/10.18359/rfce.4202 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18359/rfce.4202

Choi, N. (2015). Accounting for quality differences in human capital and foreign direct investment. Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 24(2), 228-246. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2014.898680 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2014.898680

Chudnovsky, D., & López, A. (2007). Inversión extranjera directa y desarrollo: la experiencia del Mercosur. Revista de La CEPAL, 92(1), 7-23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/a35c9b6e-es

https://doi.org/10.18356/121766cf-en DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/121766cf-en

Cleeve, E. A., Debrah, Y., & Yiheyis, Z. (2015). Human capital and FDI inflow: an assessment of the african case. Word Development, 74(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.04.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.04.003

Cubillos, M., & Navas, V. (2000). Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia: características y tendencias. DNP: Bogotá.

David, O. O. (2019). Powering economic growth and development in Africa: telecommunication operations. Applied Economics, 51(33), 3583-3607. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578852 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578852

Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE). (2021). Producto Interno Bruto de Colombia. In Cuentras Nacionales Anuales. DANE: Bogotá. https://www.dane.gov.co/index.php/estadisticas-por-tema/cuentas-nacionales/cuentas-nacionales-departamentales

Djokoto, J. G., Pomeyie, P., & Wongnaa, C. A. (2023). Foreign direct investment in food manufacturing and stages of human development. Cogent Economics and Finance, 11(2). 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2267738 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2267738

Dos Santos, T. (2002). La teoría de la dependencia Balance y perspectivas. Plaza y Janés. http://ru.iiec.unam.mx/3099/1/TeoDep.pdf

Dutta, N., Kar, S., & Saha, S. (2017). Human capital and FDI: How does corruption affect the relationship? Economic Analysis and Policy, 56(1), 126-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2017.08.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2017.08.007

Elmawazini, K., Atallah, G., Nwankwo, S., & Dissou, Y. (2013). US Foreign Affiliates, Technology Diffusion and Host Country Human Development: Human Development Index versus Human Capital. Industry and Innovation, 20(1), 69-91. https://doi.org/10.1080/13662716.2013.761381 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13662716.2013.761381

Elmawazini, K., Saleeby, E. G., el Farouk, A., & AL-Naser, B. (2018). Tripartite decomposition of labor productivity growth, FDI and human development: evidence from transition economies. Economic Change and Restructuring, 51(2), 153-171. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-016-9197-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-016-9197-7

Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236

Falero, A. (2015). La expansión de la economía de enclaves en América Latina y la ficción del desarrollo: siguiendo una vieja discusión en nuevos moldes. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Agrícolas, 1, 145-157. http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=263139243020

Fedesarrollo. (2007). Informe final de impacto de la Inversión Extranjera en Colombia: Situación actual y perspectivas. Fedesarrollo: Bogotá. https://www.repository.fedesarrollo.org.co/bitstream/handle/11445/979/Repor_Diciembre_2007_Fedesarrollo.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y

Garavito, A. A., María Iregui, A. B., & Teresa Ramírez, M. G. (2012). Determinantes de la Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia: Un estudio a nivel de firma. Borradores de Economía, 174(1), 1-52.

García-Cascante, I., & Valenciano-Salazar, J. A. (2016). Foreign direct investment and agroindustrial chains in Costa Rica: towards a typology. Economía y Sociedad, 21(49), 1-21. https://doi.org/10.15359/eys.21-49.3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.15359/eys.21-49.3

Ghosh, A., Kayal, P., & Bagchi, P. (2024). Climate change and tourism: Assessing the nexus and climate-related disasters in diverse economies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141097 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141097

Hao, Y. (2022). Effect of Economic Indicators, Renewable Energy Consumption and Human Development on Climate Change: An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data of Selected Countries. Frontiers in Energy Research, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.841497 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.841497

Hyun-Jung, N., & Doojin, R. (2023). FDI and human development: The role of governance, ODA, and national competitiveness. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 85, 1-27.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2023.101769 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2023.101769

Institute for Management Research. (2022). Índice de Desarrollo Humano nacional y departamental de Colombia. University Radboud. https://globaldatalab.org/shdi/

Ishnazarov, D., & Cevik, N. (2017). Foreign AID effectiveness in OIC member countries: beyond economic indicators. International Journal of Economics Management and Accounting, 25(2), 315-336. https://journals.iium.edu.my/enmjournal/index.php/enmj/article/view/488

Jiménez Giraldo, D. E., & Rendón Obando, H. (2012). Determinantes y efectos de la Inversión Extranjera Directa: revisión de literatura. Cuadernos de Economía, 22(41), 109-128. https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/ede/article/view/35873/36755

Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models. Source: Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278

https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2938278

Kaulihowa, T., & Adjasi, C. (2019). Non-linearity of FDI and human capital development in Africa. Transnational Corporations Review, 11(2), 133-142. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2019.1635734 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2019.1635734

Kheng, V., Sun, S., & Anwar, S. (2017). Foreign direct investment and human capital in developing countries: a panel data approach. Economic Change and Restructuring, 50(4), 341-365. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-016-9191-0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-016-9191-0

Kottaridi, C., & Stengos, T. (2010). Foreign direct investment, human capital and non-linearities in economic growth. Journal of Macroeconomics, 32(3), 858-871. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2010.01.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2010.01.004

Lan, J., Kakinaka, M., & Huang, X. (2012). Foreign Direct Investment, Human Capital and Environmental Pollution in China. Environmental and Resource Economics, 51(2), 255-275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-011-9498-2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-011-9498-2

López, E., Vértiz, F., & Olavarria, M. (2015). Extractivism, transnational capital, and subaltern struggles in Latin America. Latin American Perspectives, 42(5), 152-168. https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X14549538 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X14549538

Maridueña-Larrea, Á. (2004). Crecimiento económico y apertura comercial en Ecuador: un análisis de cointegración VAR-VECM (1967-2014). Banco Central de Ecuador: Quito.

Max-Neef, M., Elizalde, A., & Hopenhayn, M. (1986). Desarrollo a escala humana (Centro de Alternativas de Desarrollo, Ed.). http://habitat.aq.upm.es/deh/adeh.pdf

Ministerio de Educación Nacional (MEN). (2020). Matrícula en educación superior 2020 (MEN, Ed.). https://www.mineducacion.gov.co/portal/

Morita, T., & Sugawara, K. (2015). Human capital and FDI: Development process of the developing country in an overlapping generation model. Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 24(7), 922-946. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2014.986748 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2014.986748

Onakoya, A., Johnson, B., & Ogundajo, G. (2019). Poverty and trade liberalization: empirical evidence from 21 African countries. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja, 32(1), 635-656. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1561320 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1561320

Owen, S., & Yawson, A. (2010). Human development and cross-border acquisitions. Journal of Empirical Finance, 17(4), 689-701. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2010.03.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2010.03.004

Panait, M., Apostu, S. A., Vasile, V., & Vasile, R. (2022). Is energy efficiency a robust driver for the new normal development model? A Granger causality analysis. Energy Policy, 169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113162 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113162

Perugini, C., Pompei, F., & Signorelli, M. (2008). FDI, RD and human capital in Central and Eastern European countries. Post-Communist Economies, 20(3), 317-345. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631370802281431 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14631370802281431

Piedrahita-Ramírez, J. M., & Nieto Quintero, L. T. (2019). Determining factors of Foreign Direct Investment for Colombia in the period between 2000-2018. Revista de Investigaciones Universidad Del Quindío, 31(1), 73-83.

https://doi.org/10.33975/riuq.vol31n1.265 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33975/riuq.vol31n1.265

Poncela, P., Senra, E., & Sierra, L. P. (2017). Long-term links between raw materials prices, real exchange rate and relative de-industrialization in a commodity-dependent economy: empirical evidence of "Dutch disease" in Colombia. Empirical Economics, 52(2), 777-798. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1083-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1083-7

Ramirez, M. D. (2010). Economic and Institutional Determinants of FDI Flows to Latin America: A Panel Study (1003; Vol. 10). http://www.trincoll.edu/depts/econ/

Reina, M. (2016). Impacto Económico de la Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia. Fedesarrollo: Bogotá.

Reiter, S. L., & Steensma, H. K. (2010). Human Development and Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries The Influence of FDI Policy and Corruption. Word Development, 38(12), 1678-1691. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.04.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.04.005

Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 71-102.

https://doi.org/10.1086/261725 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261725

Sadeghi, P., Shahrestani, H., Kiani, K. H., & Torabi, T. (2020). Economic complexity, human capital, and FDI attraction: A cross country analysis. International Economics, 164(3), 168-182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.08.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.08.005

Sen, A. (1999). Development as freedom (Anchor Books, Ed.). https://kuangaliablog.files.wordpress.com/2017/07/amartya_kumar_sen_development_as_freedombookfi.pdf

Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1-48.

https://doi.org/10.2307/1912017 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1912017

Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94.

https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Soumaré, I. (2015). Does FDI improve economic development in North African countries? Applied Economics, 47(51), 5510-5533. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051655 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051655

Stiglitz, J. (2006). Making globalization work (W.W. Norton & Company, Ed.). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/44836859_Making_Globalization_Work

Su, Y., & Liu, Z. (2016). The impact of foreign direct investment and human capital on economic growth: Evidence from Chinese cities. China Economic Review, 37, 97-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2015.12.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2015.12.007

Tsamadias, C., Pegkas, P., Mamatzakis, E., & Staikouras, C. (2019). Does R&D, human capital and FDI matter for TFP in OECD countries? Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 28(4), 386-406. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2018.1502394 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2018.1502394

Tsaurai, K. (2015). Does human capital development matter in fdi location decisions? A case for Austria. Risk Governance and Control: Financial Markets and Institutions, 5(3), 26-35. https://doi.org/10.22495/rgcv5i3art3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22495/rgcv5i3art3

Ul Haq, M. (1995). Reflections on human development (O. U. Press., Ed.). https://es.scribd.com/document/360838995/Mahbub-Ul-Haq-Reflections-on-Human-Development

https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195101911.001.0001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195101911.001.0001

UNCTAD. (2023). World Investment Report 2023: Investment and sustainable energy. ONU: Genova.

UNDP. (2021). Regional Human Development Report 2021. ONU: New York.

Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética. (2015). Evaluación de la contribución económica del sector de hidrocarburos colombiano frente a diversos escenarios de producción. UPME: Bogotá. https://www.repository.fedesarrollo.org.co/handle/11445/1688

Urbina, D. A., & Rodríguez, G. (2022). The effects of corruption on growth, human development and natural resources sector: empirical evidence from a Bayesian panel VAR for Latin American and Nordic countries. Journal of Economic Studies, 49(2), 346-363. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-05-2020-0199 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-05-2020-0199

Vidal Alejandro, P. (2008). Política monetaria en Cuba. Estimación con un modelo VAR estructural. Revista Principios, 12(1). 1-18. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/267854318

Vidal Alejandro, P., & Fernández, A. F. (2008). Relación comercio-crecimiento en Cuba: estimación con el filtro de Kalman. Revista de La CEPAL, 94, 101-120.

https://doi.org/10.18356/ef2fcb8f-es DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/ef2fcb8f-es

Vidal, P., Aguilar, R., & García, A. (2009). Elementos de econometría: aplicaciones para Cuba. In Elementos de econometría: aplicaciones para Cuba (Vol. 1). Centro de Estudios de Economía Cubana. https://pmb.parlamento.gub.uy/pmb/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=59859

Völlmecke, D., Jindra, B., & Marek, P. (2016). FDI, human capital and income convergence-Evidence for European regions. Economic Systems, 40(2), 288-307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.11.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.11.001

Wang, S., Abbas, J., Al-Sulati, K. I., & Shah, S. A. R. (2024). The Impact of Economic Corridor and Tourism on Local Community's Quality of Life under One Belt One Road Context. Evaluation Review, 48(2), 312-345. https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X231182749 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X231182749

Zhuang, H. (2017). The effect of foreign direct investment on human capital development in East Asia. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 22(2), 195-211. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2016.1240321 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2016.1240321

Published

2024-12-03

How to Cite

Apolinar Cárdenas, R. A., Vidal Alejandro, P., & Díaz Castro, J. (2024). Foreign Direct Investment, human development and energy mining sector: the case of Colombia (1990-2021). Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 38, 1–31. https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.9610

Issue

Section

Articles