Rusia: ¿hacia una economía petróleo-rentista?
Abstract
Specialists in Russia consider that this country tends to become an oil-rentier economy. In this paper we try to supply useful elements to check this hypothesis. In order to accomplish this goal, in the first place we establish at theoretical level which are the characteristics that make to consider an economy as a rentier one. Opposing the most extended tendency, that associates rentierism to a certain macroeconomic scene, we infer that the mere existence of this scenario does not turn an oil economy into a rentier economy, when certain political and social conditions are not fulfilled. Once established the key conditions for rentierism, we study the case of Russia. A systematic review of these conditions leads us to establish that in the present situation the diagnosis of rentierism for the Russian economy is far from being confirmed, in spite of some indicators that might show a certain tendency to it.
Downloads
References
ABDEL-FADIL, M., (1987), "The Macro-behaviour of Oil-rentier States in the Arab Region", en BEBLAWI, H. y LUCIANI, G. (Eds.), The Rentier State, IAI, Croom Helm, London.
AITKEN, B. (2001); "Falling Tax Compliance and the Rise of Virtual Budget in Russia", IMF Staff Papers, 48. https://doi.org/10.2307/4621695
ALI FERKAT, M., (1979), "Growth of OPEC-type economies: a preliminary theoretical inquiry", Economia Internazionale, XXXII-1.
AMUZEGAR, J. (1998); "OPEC as OMEN", Foreign Affairs, 77, 6. https://doi.org/10.2307/20049133
AMUZEGAR, J., (1992), "Oil wealth a very mixed blessing", Foreign Affairs, 60-4. https://doi.org/10.2307/20041175
ANDREFF, W. (2003): "Las empresas multinacionales rusas: inversión directa de Rusia en el exterior", Información Comercial Española. Revista de economía, 805, marzo.
AUTY, R.M. (1993); Sustaining Development in Mineral Economies: The resource curse thesis, Routledge, London.
AUTY, R.M. y GELB, A..H. (2001); "Political Economy of Resource-Abundant States" en: AUTY, R.M. (ed.); Resource Abundance and Economic Development, UNU/WIDER, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
BANCO MUNDIAL, Russia Country Department (2004) "Recalculating the Composition of Russia's GDP", Russian Economic Report, febrero.
BANCO MUNDIAL, Russia Country Department (2003), Russian Economic Report, Agosto.
BARNES, A. (2003): "Russia's New Business Groups and State Power", Post-Soviet Affairs, 19, 2.
https://doi.org/10.2747/1060-586X.19.2.154
BEBLAWI, H. (1987); "The Rentier State in the Arab World" en: BEBLAWI y LUCIANI (1987), The Rentier State, IAI; Croom Helm, London.
BOUE, J. C. (2004); "Will Russia Play Ball with OPEC?", OEIS Energy Comment, enero.
EIFERT, B., GELB, A. y TALLROTH, N.B. (2003); "Operational Aspects of Fiscal Policy in Oil-Producing Countries" en: DAVIS, J.M., OSSOWSKI, R. y FEDELINO, A. (eds.); Fiscal Policy Formulation and Implementation in Oil Producing Countries, IMF, Washington D.C.
FERNÁNDEZ SÁNCHEZ, R. (2001): "La recuperación de la economía rusa desde la perspectiva externa", Boletín Económico de ICE, 2711, 3-9 de diciembre de 2001.
HANSON, P. (2003): "The Russian Economic Recovery: Do Four Years of Growth Tell Us that the Fundamentals have Changed?", Europe-Asia Studies, vol. 55, n. 3. https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813032000069296
HOF & STIGLITZ (2004): "The Rule of Law Circle: Toward a Political Economy of Property Rights in the Transition Economies", ACES/ASSA Annual Conference, January, San Diego CA.
IBRAHIM, I.B., (1987), "The impact of the Oil Price decline on the Economies of the Arab Countries", OPEC Review, Primavera. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0076.1987.tb00039.x
IEA, (2002), Russia Energy Survey2002.
KWON, G (2003); Budgetary Impact of Oil Prices in Russia, IMF Representative in Moscow, agosto.
LAL, D. (1995); "Why growth rates differ. The political economy of social capability in 21 developing countries" en: KOO, B.H. y PERKINS, D.H. (Eds.), Social Capability and Long-Run Economic Growth, Basingstoke: Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-13512-7_14
LOCATELLI, C. (2004a); "La place des investissements internationaux dans l'industrie pétrolière russe" , Courrier de l'Est, noviembre.
LOCATELLI, C. (2004b); "L'industrie pétrolière russe entre gouvernance publique et privée: les obstacles aus stratégies d'entrée des compagnies internationales", Cahier de Récherche LEPII, Série EPE, 35.
LUCIANI, G. (1987); "Allocatin vs. Production States. A theoritical Framework" en: BEBLAWI y LUCIANI (Eds.), The Rentier State, IAI, Croom Helm, London.
MAÑÉ ESTRADA, A. (2000) El mercado del petróleo en el contexto de la globalización: transnacionalización y concentración de poder. Memoria del Master en Estudios Internacionales.
MAÑÉ ESTRADA, A. (2001); "La industria petrolera: transnacionalización y concentración". Papeles de Cuestiones Internacionales. 73. Invierno.
MAÑÉ ESTRADA, A. (2002); "El fin del pacto social. Hidrocarburos y legitimación política", Nación Árabe, 46, invierno.
MAÑÉ ESTRADA, A. (2003); "Transición en la escena energética. ¿hacia un suministro más seguro?, Economía Exterior,26, Otoño.
MAÑÉ i BORRÁS, E. (2000); Auge petrolero y estancamiento agrícola en Nigeria (Síndrome Holandés y análisis estructural), Memoria Postgrado Societats Africanes, Universitat de Barcelona.
MOMMER, B. (2000); "The Governance of International Oil. The Changing Rules of the Game", OIES WPM 26, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
MORA, J. (1998); "Los contratos de la apertura petrolera", en: AA.VV.; Venezuela en la encrucijada., Universidad de Los Andes, Mérida.
NOËL, P. (2003); "La politique pétrolière américaine: une dépendance acceptée et assumée", Problèmes Économiques, 2.812, junio.
NUTI, M. (1998): "A macro-economic overview", Seminar on The Russia predicament, LBS, 13 November.
PALAZUELOS, E. (2003): "Dilemas de la economía rusa atrapada entre la bonanza petrolera y la deuda externa", Información Comercial Española. Revista de economía, 805, marzo.
PALAZUELOS, E. Y FERNÁNDEZ, R. (2002): La decadencia económica de Rusia, Ed. Debate, Madrid.
PALIASHVILI (1998), "The Concept of Production Sharing", Actas del Seminario sobre legislación de los Acuerdos de Producción, Septiembre, Ucrania.
REDDAWAY ET AL. (2004): "Russia in the Year 2003", Post-Soviet Affairs, 20, 1. https://doi.org/10.2747/1060-586X.20.1.1
RUCKER, L; WALTER, G. (2004): "Russie 2003. Sous contrôle, mais pour quoi faire?", Le courrier des pays de l'Est, 1041, Enero-Febrero. https://doi.org/10.3917/cpe.041.0006
SÁNCHEZ ANDRÉS, A. (1999): "Nuevas estrategias de política económica en economías en transición. El caso de Rusia", Jornadas de Política Económica, Alicante.
SÁNCHEZ ANDRÉS, A. (2003): "Estructura, resultados y límites de la estabilización de Rusia tras la crisis de 1998", Información Comercial Española. Revista de economía, 805, marzo.
SAPIR, J. (2003a): "Éxitos y límites de la estabilización de Rusia tras la crisis de 1998", Información Comercial Española. Revista de economía, 805, marzo.
SAPIR, J. (2003b): "Russia's Economic Growth and European Integration", Post-Soviet Affairs, 19, 1.
https://doi.org/10.2747/1060-586X.19.1.1
SHALID ALAM, M., (1988), "The Basic Macro-Economics of Oil Economies", The Journal of Development Studies, XVIII-2.
STEVENS, P. (2003); "Resource Impact: Curse or Blesing?. A Literature Survey", The Journal of Energy Literature, IX, 1.
STIGLITZ, J.; GODOY, S. (2004): "Growth, Initial Conditions, Law and Speed of Privatization in Transition Countries: 11 Years Later", ACES/ASSA Annual Conference, January, San Diego CA.
SUNLEY, E.M., BAUNSGAARD, T. y SIMARD, D. (2003); "Revenue from Oil and Gas Sector: Issues and Country Experience", en: DAVIS, J.M., OSSOWSKI, R. y FEDELINO, A. (eds.); Fiscal Policy Formulation and Implementation in Oil Producing Countries, IMF, Washington D.C.
TARR, D. y THOMSON, P. (2003); The merits of Dual pricing of Russian Natural Gas, Banco Mundial, Russia Country Department, julio.
WALTER, G. (2003): "Les réformes économiques en Russie", Le courrier des pays de l'Est, 1038, Septiembre. https://doi.org/10.3917/cpe.038.0014
