Assessing the Effect of Fiscal Aggregation in Spain:

An Empirical Analysis of the “Cheque Zapatero” (2010–2014)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.11997

Keywords:

optimal taxation, employment incone, autonomous communities, deductions

Abstract

This study evaluates the effect of the "Cheque Zapatero", a tax deduction implemented in Spain between 2008 and 2014, on taxpayers' behavior. In particular, it analyzes whether the deduction encouraged a "bunching" phenomenon. Using data from the Personal Income Tax Returners Panel for the period 2010-2014, this article applies two methodologies: the Chapman and Leigh (2009) approach and a modification of the Saez (2010) model. The results obtained indicate that no significant clustering patterns are observed at the inflection points of the tax system associated with the deduction. The analysis reveals that the "Cheque Zapatero" did not substantially alter taxpayers' behavior. This work contributes to the literature by applying a methodology that has been little explored in the Spanish context and suggests that progressive tax measures targeting labor income do not necessarily lead to strategic income reporting behaviors.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Alvaredo, F. y Londoño, J. (2014). Altos Ingresos e impuesto de renta en Colombia, 1993-2010. Revista de Economía Institucional, vol. 16, n 31, pp. 157-194.

Badenes Plá, N. (2008). El efecto del cheque Zapatero sobre la distribución y la pobreza de las familias. Fundación Acción Familiar, Documento de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 01/08.

Bastani, S. y Selin, H. (2013). Bunching and non-bunching at kink points of the Swedish tax schedule. Journal of Public Economics, vol. 109, pp. 36-49.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.09.010

Bastani, S. y Waldenström, D. (2021). The Ability gradient in Bunching, Journal of Public Economics Plus, 2, 100007.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pubecp.2021.100007

Bergolo, M., Burdin, G., De Rosa, M., Giaccobasso, M. and Leites, M. (2021), Digging Into the Channels of Bunching: Evidence from the Uruguayan Income Tax, Economic Journal, vol 131(639), pp. 2726-2762.

https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueab002

Bohne, A. y Nimczik, J.S. (2025). Information frictions and learning dynamics: evidence from tax bunching in Ecuador. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, vol. 127 (1), pp. 46-78

https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12577

Borra, C., González, L. y Sevilla, A. (2019). The impact of scheduling birth early on infant health. Journal of the European Economic Association, vol. 17 (1), pp. 30-78.

https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvx060

Cañaveras Perea, R., Tejada Ponce, A., Sánchez González, Mª P. y López Pérez, Mª. M. (2024). Determinants of Regional asymmetry in inheritance and gift tax in Spain, Hacienda Pública Española/Review of Public Economics,vol 251-(4-2024), pp. 3-25.

https://doi.org/10.7866/HPE-RPE.24.4.1

Chapman, B. y Leigh, A. (2009). Do very high tax rates induce bunching? Implications for the design of income contingent loan schemes. Economic Record, vol 270 (85), pp. 276-289.

https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.2009.00554.x

Chetty, R., Friedman, J. N., Olsen, T. y Pistaferri, L. (2011). Adjustment costs, firm responses, and micro vs. macro labor supply elasticities: Evidence from Danish tax records. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 162 (2), pp. 749-804

https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjr013

Dombeck, F.B. (2016). Bunching in the Norwegian Income Distribution. Master Thesis, University of Oslo.

Elias, F. y Riudavets-Barcons, M. (2022). The fiscal effects of uncappings social security contributions: implications for pension reform in Spain, International Review of Economic Policy-Revista Internacional de Política Económica, vol 4(2), pp. 1-19.

https://doi.org/10.7203/IREP.4.2.25834

Esteller-Moré, A. y Foremny, D. (2016). Elasticity of taxable income for Spanish top taxpayers. Papeles de Trabajo, IEF, 2/2016.

Friedberg, L. (2000). The labor supply effects of the social security earning test. The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol 82(1), pp. 48-63.

https://doi.org/10.1162/003465300558623

Gamarra, A., Arrazola, M. y Sánz Sánz, J.F. (2022). The elasticity of taxable income of low-income earns: bunching evidene from Spain. Applied Economics, 55(21), 2389-2412,

https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102576

Kleven, H y Wassem, M. (2013). Using notches to uncover optimization frictions and structural elasticities: Theory and Evidence from Pakistan. The Quartely Journal of Economics, vol 128(2), pp. 669- 723.

https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjt004

Kosonen, T. y Matikka, T. (2019). Discrete earnings responses to tax incentives: empirical evidence and implications. Labour Institute for Economics Research Working Paper, 326.

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3609866

Legazpe Moraleja, N. (2016). Decisiones de formación de la pareja y maternidad en las mujeres españolas. Revista de Economía Aplicada, vol. 24 (72), pp. 23-45.

López Laborda, J., Domínguez Barrero, F. y Rodrigo Sauco, F. (2015). El hueco que deja el diablo. Una estimación del fraude fiscal en el IRPF con microdatos tributarios. Revista de Economía Aplicada, vol. 23., pp. 81-102

López-Luzuriaga, A. (2021). Less is more? Limits to itemized deductions and tax evasion. Mimeo. Universidad del Rosario. Disponible en: https://aflopezluzuriaga.github.io/website/papers/JMP_Lopez-Luzuriaga.pdf

Ma, X., Zhang, S. y Mu, Q. (2014). How do residents respond to Price under increasing block tariffs? Evidence from experiments in urban residential water demand in Beijing. Water Resource Manage, vol. 28, pp. 4895-4909.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0561-y

Martínez-Martín, R., García-Moreno, JM. y Lozano-Martín, AM. (2018). Trabajadores pobres en España. El contexto de la crisis económica como marco para comprender la desigualdad. Papeles de Población, vol. 98, 185-218.

https://doi.org/10.22185/24487147.2018.98.40

Montero González, B. y Camacho Ballesta, J.A. (2018). Caracterización del emprendimiento femenino en España: una visión en conjunto. REVESCO. Revista de Estudios Cooperativos, vol 129, pp. 39-65.

https://doi.org/10.5209/REVE.61936

Mortenson, J. A. y Whitten, A. (2020). Bunching to maximize Tax Credits: Evidence from Kinks in the U.S. Tax Schedule. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, vol. 12(3), pp. 402-32.

https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20180054

Rodrigo Sauco, F. (2025). Millonaires in the run? Taxation of the rich and induced mobility: a literatura review, Hacienda Pública Española/Review of Public Economics, vol 253 (2/2025), 91-127.

https://doi.org/10.7866/HPE-RPE.25.2.4

Saez, E. (2010). Do taxpayer bunch at kink points? American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, vol 2(3), pp. 180-212.

https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.2.3.180

Schächtele, S. (2020). Tax responses at low taxable incomes: evidence from Germany, Fiscal Studies, vol 41(2), pp. 411-439

https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-5890.12220

Torres-Remírez, J., López González, E. y Gómez Melero, E. (2024). Bunching en España (1982-1998). Las rentas bajas frente a las modificaciones del tipo marginal. Hacienda Pública Española Review of Public Economics, vol 250-(3/2024), pp. 33-67.

https://doi.org/10.7866/HPE-RPE.24.3.2

Torres-Remírez, J. y Teruel Fernández, C. (2026). ¿Existe bunching en el IRPF? Un análisis jurídico-económico de la Reducción de los rendimientos netos del trabajo en España (2007-2017), Lecturas de Economía, en prensa

Vilá, J. (2019). Respuestas en los ingresos frente a un programa de transferencias monetarias: evidencia de un notch a partir de registros administrativos de Uruguay. Instituto de Economía. Serie Documentos de Trabajo; 07/19. Disponible en: https://www.iecon.fcea.udelar.edu.uy/images/publicaciones/676/dt-07-19.pdf

Zucman, G. (2015). La riqueza escondida de las naciones. Cómo funcionan los paraísos fiscales y qué hacer con ellos. Siglo Veintiuno Editores.

Published

2026-03-26

How to Cite

Torres Remírez, J., Ramírez Franco, L., & Sánchez Andrés, A. (2026). Assessing the Effect of Fiscal Aggregation in Spain: : An Empirical Analysis of the “Cheque Zapatero” (2010–2014). Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, 1–23. https://doi.org/10.46661/rev.metodoscuant.econ.empresa.11997

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

<< < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.